Munich Oktoberfest 2026 records more than 7.0 million visitors in total (confirmed by Bavarian Ministry of Economic Affairs or Süddeutsche Zeitung by October 10, 2026)
Oktoberfest 2023: approx. 7.2M visitors; 2024: approx. 7.1M – both years comfortably above the 7-million mark. The 2026 Wiesn runs September 19 – October 6 (18 days). International travel demand to Munich remains stable. Main risk: unusually poor weather can deter 10–15% of visitors. No Polymarket/Kalshi market found; calibration based on historical visitor figures.
65%