Tuesday, 11. August 2026

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🍾 Beverages Miss ✦ AI

Celsius Holdings reports Q2 2026 net revenue above USD 850 million (reporting August 11, 2026)

Celsius generated record Q1 2026 revenue of USD 782.6 million (+138% YoY) through full consolidation of Alani Nu (USD 368 million) and Rockstar (since August 2025). Q2 2026 is the first period with both brands for a full quarter and benefits from the seasonal summer energy-drink peak. Q2 analyst consensus: ~USD 910 million. Threshold of USD 850 million is ~6.6% below consensus — a conservative hurdle. Celsius beat Q1 estimates by +2.5% (USD 782.6M vs. USD 763.8M consensus). No Polymarket/Kalshi market available.

79%

Next Month · Predicted for 11. Aug 2026

📈 Economy Miss ✦ AI

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raises the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.60% on August 11, 2026

The RBA raised its benchmark rate to 4.35% after three consecutive hikes earlier in 2026 and held unchanged at its July 2026 meeting. The next decision falls on August 11, 2026. Economist surveys (as of July 2026, Finder.com.au): 55% expect at least one more RBA hike in 2026; of those, 62% see August as the most likely timing. However, the July pause may signal the start of a hold cycle — 45% expect another pause. Decisive will be the next Australian CPI report. No direct market price signal available. Own estimate: 45% probability of a hike to 4.60% in August.

45%

Next Month · Predicted for 11. Aug 2026