Celsius Holdings reports Q2 2026 net revenue above USD 850 million (reporting August 11, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 11. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Celsius generated record Q1 2026 revenue of USD 782.6 million (+138% YoY) through full consolidation of Alani Nu (USD 368 million) and Rockstar (since August 2025). Q2 2026 is the first period with both brands for a full quarter and benefits from the seasonal summer energy-drink peak. Q2 analyst consensus: ~USD 910 million. Threshold of USD 850 million is ~6.6% below consensus — a conservative hurdle. Celsius beat Q1 estimates by +2.5% (USD 782.6M vs. USD 763.8M consensus). No Polymarket/Kalshi market available.
Data basis for this prediction
- Celsius Q1 2026: 782,6 Mio. USD (+138% YoY); Alani Nu 368 Mio. USD (BusinessWire, 07.05.2026)
- Q2 2026 Konsens: ~910 Mio. USD; Reporting 11.08.2026 vor Börseneröffnung (TipRanks)
- Celsius FY2025: 2.515 Mio. USD (+85,5%); Rockstar seit August 2025 (SEC 8-K FY2026)
Verdict: Miss
Celsius Holdings meldete für Q2 2026 einen Nettoumsatz von ca. 817,9 Mio. USD – ein neuer Q2-Rekord, aber klar unterhalb der Schwelle von 850 Mio. USD. Auch der Analystenkonsens von ~872 Mio. USD wurde deutlich verfehlt. Hauptgrund: Die Celsius-Kernmarke verlor ca. 11,7 % YoY durch SKU-Optimierung und Lagerbestandsanpassungen im Pepsi-Distributionsnetz. Alani Nu steuerte 364 Mio. USD bei, Rockstar 66,5 Mio. USD – beide solide, aber nicht ausreichend, um den Rückgang der Hauptmarke zu kompensieren. Auch der EPS verfehlte (0,36 USD vs. 0,41 USD Konsens). Quellen: Celsius Holdings IR-Pressemitteilung (ir.celsiusholdingsinc.com), StockTitan (stocktitan.net/news/CELH/...), Yahoo Finance.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Rémy Cointreau published its H1 FY2026/27 result on October 27, 2026: organic growth of +2.9 percent YoY for April–September 2026 — 90 basis points above this forecast's threshold. The company confirmed its FY2026/27 guidance ('gradual return to organic growth'). Q2 FY2026/27 (Jul–Sep): Cognac up 12 percent YoY. FY2025/26 full year: +0.2 percent organic ('in line with targets', Rémy IR, June 3, 2026). Achieving above 2.0 percent for the full year only requires H2 (Oct 2026–Mar 2027) to avoid a complete collapse — the 90-basis-point H1 buffer provides substantial safety margin. Risks: US demand weakness, Chinese Cognac tariffs, macro slowdown. Supporting: Rémy Martin premiumization strategy, confirmed guidance, strong Q2 momentum.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
After the record of 322 million bottles (2021), Champagne shipments are in structural decline: ~319 million in 2022, ~299 million in 2023 (CIVC). Continued luxury weakness in China (export volume –27% YoY H1 2026), rising input costs, and saturated key markets (USA, France, UK) point to further contraction. At –5 to –7% p.a. decline (2022–2025 trend), 2026 volume would be approximately 262–271 million bottles — well below the 280 million threshold. No prediction market signal available. Confirmed via CIVC annual report or Reuters by January 31, 2027.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.