Trump meets Xi Jinping bilaterally on the sidelines of UNGA 81 in New York
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. September 2026
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Predicted for 27. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Polymarket prices the probability of a Trump-Xi bilateral meeting on the sidelines of UNGA 81 (High-Level Week September 22–27, 2026, New York) at 97%. Trump is scheduled to open the UNGA General Debate as the first speaker on Tuesday, September 22. Xi Jinping is attending UNGA after several years of absence. Strategic backdrop: the Iran war (since February 28, 2026), US-China tensions over technology exports and Taiwan, and the ongoing de-facto economic conflict through US tariffs. Trump is simultaneously consulting GCC heads of state in New York on an Iran post-war strategy — China's positioning is central to that. A formal bilateral meeting is seen as unavoidable for both sides. The US and China have a structural interest in keeping communication channels open, even amid deep rivalry.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: Trump trifft Xi Jinping am Rande der UNGA = 97 % (Stand 21.09.2026)
- Trump heads to UN with Iran's nuclear program in focus (The National Desk, Sep 2026)
- Trump eyes busy week of meetings as UNGA gathers; GCC leaders für Iran-Nachkriegsstrategie eingeladen (Spokesman.com, 20.09.2026)
- UNGA 81 General Debate: USA spricht als erster Redner, Di. 22. September (un.org, Sep 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Xi Jinping besuchte die UNGA 81 in New York nicht. Er reiste stattdessen direkt nach Washington für einen bilateralen Gipfel mit Trump. Ein Treffen 'am Rande der UNGA in New York' fand nicht statt. Quelle: ABC Australia, WION, ABC News.
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