Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP) secures parliamentary majority with Vox coalition and becomes Spanish Prime Minister — General Election 29 November 2026 (confirmed by Junta Electoral Central or AP by 1 December 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 5. November 2026
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Predicted for 29. November 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Spain holds a general election on 29 November 2026. Polymarket prices Feijóo as next PM at 85%, Kalshi at 82% — both serve as anchors. A separate Polymarket market gives PP+Vox a 92% probability of a joint majority (>176/350 seats). Current polls (Sondaxe) show PP at 29.2% narrowly ahead of PSOE (26.9%); Vox is tracking slightly higher. Feijóo failed to form a government in 2023, but market odds reflect the lesson learned: PP+Vox is now seen as stable enough. No deviation from market anchor warranted.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: Feijóo nächster Ministerpräsident Spaniens — 85 % (Stand 5. November 2026)
- Kalshi: Spanien-PM-Markt — 82 % für Feijóo (Stand 5. November 2026)
- Polymarket: PP+Vox Mehrheit >176 Sitze — 92 % (Stand 5. November 2026)
- riotimesonline.com / electiontracker.eu: Sondaxe-Umfrage PP 29,2 % vs. PSOE 26,9 % (Nov 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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