Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$0.47 per share (July 22, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 15. July 2026
·
Predicted for 22. July 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
Tesla reported Q2 2026 deliveries of 480,126 vehicles on July 2, 2026 – ~18% above the Wall Street estimate of 406,024 (TechTimes). EPS consensus stands at ~$0.47 (MarketBeat). UBS analyst Spak targets $0.67 EPS (TipRanks) – a ~43% beat. Auto gross margin ex-credits projected at 19% vs. 17.6% consensus. This earnings season, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock all beat estimates (confirmed). No direct Polymarket anchor; historical Q2 beat rate for large growth companies >65%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Tesla Q2 2026 Deliveries: 480.126 Fzg. (+25 % YoY, TechTimes, 2. Juli 2026)
- EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: ca. 0,47 USD (MarketBeat/MEXC Earnings Preview, Juli 2026)
- UBS-Schätzung Q2 EPS: 0,67 USD – 43 % Beat erwartet (Joseph Spak, TipRanks, Juli 2026)
- Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Webcast: 22. Juli 2026, 17:30 ET (ir.tesla.com)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
ECI published July 31, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Historical ECI: +0.9% QoQ in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025. With persistently tight labor market (US Initial Claims <230k per existing prediction), ongoing wage negotiations in healthcare and IT, and energy price pressure from the Hormuz crisis, wage inflation remains sticky. A reading >0.9% QoQ would be slightly above consensus of ~0.8–0.9% and would dampen Fed rate-cut expectations for late 2026. No Polymarket quote available.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Abbott reports on 16 July 2026 before market open. Consensus is $1.28 Non-GAAP; company guidance range is $1.25–$1.31 per share, midpoint exactly at consensus. Abbott has beaten consensus in eight consecutive quarters. FreeStyle Libre revenue grows ~15–18% YoY, driving the medical devices segment. Diagnostics segment continues to benefit from post-pandemic test infrastructure. No Polymarket quote; historical beat rate ~72% (FactSet tracking).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
DAX closed at 25,114 on July 14 (+0.19%). Positive US earnings support sentiment: Goldman Sachs Q2 +7.66% EPS surprise (~45%), BofA +8% EPS beat. S&P 500 expected above 7,550 on July 18 per existing prediction; DAX historically correlates at ~0.75–0.85 to S&P. A gain of 86 points (+0.34%) is required. Headwinds: EUR/USD at 1.1430 pressures exporters; Hormuz escalation weighs on energy-intensive industries. No Polymarket quote for DAX.