DAX (XETRA) closes above 25,200 points on 18 July 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 15. July 2026
·
Predicted for 18. July 2026
·
Based on: Ongoing Event
DAX closed at 25,114 on July 14 (+0.19%). Positive US earnings support sentiment: Goldman Sachs Q2 +7.66% EPS surprise (~45%), BofA +8% EPS beat. S&P 500 expected above 7,550 on July 18 per existing prediction; DAX historically correlates at ~0.75–0.85 to S&P. A gain of 86 points (+0.34%) is required. Headwinds: EUR/USD at 1.1430 pressures exporters; Hormuz escalation weighs on energy-intensive industries. No Polymarket quote for DAX.
Data basis for this prediction
- Trading Economics: DAX Schlussstand 14.07.2026: 25.114 Punkte (+0,19 %)
- Alphastreet: Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 EPS $20,98 vs. Konsens $14,46, Aktie +7,66% (14.07.2026)
- BofA IR: Bank of America Q2 2026 EPS $1,21 vs. $1,12, Nettogewinn +27% YoY (14.07.2026)
- Trading Economics: EUR/USD 1,1430 (14.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] DAX am 17. Juli 2026 bei ca. 24.728–24.755 Punkten; 25.000 Punkte laut Medienberichten 'nicht erreichbar'. Am Samstag kein Xetra-Handel. Schwelle 25.200 wurde nicht erreicht. Quelle: finanzen.net, onvista.de (17. Juli 2026).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Cisco has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus in 7 of its last 8 quarters. For Q1 FY2027 (August–October 2026) the company itself guided $1.32–$1.34 per share — the market consensus of $1.32 sits at the bottom of this self-guided range, which historically signals a beat for Cisco (Q4 FY2026: $1.22 vs. consensus $1.17). AI-networking growth, Splunk integration synergies, and record Q4 FY2026 revenue ($17.25B) confirm the structural growth momentum. Q1 FY2027 revenue consensus: $18.11B (within guidance range $18.0–18.2B).