Sherrod Brown (Democrat) wins the US Senate seat Ohio against Jon Husted (Republican) — US midterm elections November 3, 2026 (confirmed by AP or NBC News by November 4, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 28. October 2026
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Predicted for 3. November 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Sherrod Brown challenges incumbent Jon Husted (appointed by Governor DeWine to fill JD Vance's vacated seat). Polymarket gives Brown 71%, Husted 31% ($1.87M traded as of October 27, 2026). Kalshi shows Brown 68%, Decision Desk HQ 56%. RCP polling average: Brown +3.3 points. Individual polls show Brown +5 (Fox News) and +6 (Cook/Bowling Green); only Rasmussen (10/12–10/14) shows Husted +2. Brown's personal favorability, strength with union households, independents, and women provide structural advantage despite Ohio's rightward shift (Trump +11, 2024).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: Brown 71 %, Husted 31 %, $1,87 Mio. Handelsvolumen Ohio Senate 2026 (27.10.2026)
- Kalshi: Brown 68 %, Husted 32 %, Ohio Senate 2026 (28.10.2026)
- RealClearPolling RCP-Schnitt: Brown +3,3 Punkte (Stand 28.10.2026)
- DDHQ Forecast: Brown 56 %, Husted 44 %, Toss-Up-Rating (27.10.2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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