Roy Cooper (Democrat) wins the US Senate seat in North Carolina against Michael Whatley (Republican) — US midterm elections November 3, 2026 (confirmed by AP or NBC News by November 4, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 31. October 2026
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Predicted for 3. November 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Polymarket puts Cooper at 97%, Kalshi likewise 97%. The former two-term governor of North Carolina runs for the open Senate seat following Thom Tillis's (R) retirement. Polling average October 2026: Cooper leads +8 to +14 points over Whatley. Polymarket and Kalshi briefly diverged (Polymarket 73% in January) but converged to ~97% by October. Markets treat this seat as near-certainly Democratic.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 97 % Roy Cooper (Stand 31. Oktober 2026, polymarkettrader.com / polyinsider.io)
- Kalshi: 97 % Roy Cooper (Stand 31. Oktober 2026)
- Polling-Durchschnitt: Cooper +8 bis +14 Punkte vor Whatley (Oktober 2026, Yahoo News / The Center Square)
- Prediction News: 'Polymarket und Kalshi divergieren scharf bei Cooper-Quoten' (Oktober 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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