Swedish Riksdag Election (13 September 2026): Kristdemokraterna (KD) achieves more than 6.0% of votes cast (confirmed by Valmyndigheten by 14 September 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 9. September 2026
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Predicted for 13. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Current polls show KD between 5.8% (Infostat, 1 Sep) and 8.5% (Demoskop, 24 Aug); PolitPro Trend: 6.6% (4 Sep 2026). The 6.0% threshold is well below the trend average but only 0.2 pp above the lowest single poll. KD received exactly 6.4% in the 2022 Riksdag election. Some downward pressure from SD strength and government-bloc dynamics. No prediction market found. Calibration: 62%.
Data basis for this prediction
- PolitPro Trend Schweden: KD 6,6 % (Stand 4. September 2026)
- Infostat / PolitPro: KD 5,8 % (1. September 2026)
- Demoskop / PolitPro: KD 8,5 % (24. August 2026)
- Wikipedia: 2026 Swedish general election – KD-Ergebnis 2022: 6,4 %
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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