Swedish Riksdag election (13 September 2026): Centerpartiet (C) wins more than 8.0% of votes cast
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. September 2026
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Predicted for 13. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Centerpartiet (C) is at 9.2% in the Novus poll of September 9–11, 2026, and 9.3% in the Verian poll (August 20–September 2). No poll in the last six has placed C below 8.5%. The party reliably attracts rural and agrarian voters with stable mobilisation patterns. The 8.0% threshold sits 1.2 percentage points below the current polling average, providing a conservative buffer against polling error. A last-minute collapse below 8% would require an unprecedented swing in the final 48 hours.
Data basis for this prediction
- Novus-Umfrage 09.–11.09.2026: Centerpartiet 9,2 % (Wikipedia Swedish election polling 2026)
- Verian-Umfrage 20.08.–02.09.2026: C 9,3 % (Wikipedia Swedish election polling 2026)
- Aggregat letzter 6 Umfragen Aug–Sep 2026: C konstant 8,5–9,5 %, nie unter 8 % (wahlrecht.de)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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