⚽ Sports · Next Week

Kylian Mbappé scores at least one goal in the 2026 World Cup Final (MetLife Stadium, New Jersey, 19 July 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. July 2026 · Predicted for 19. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

40%

Mbappé is the tournament's dominant scorer with 8 goals. P(France in final) ≈ 60% (bookmaker odds -148 for semi win); P(Mbappé scores | France in final) ≈ 65% (has scored in nearly every match). Overall probability ~39%. Polymarket prices France at 40% tournament winner — consistent with a France–Argentina final. No separate Mbappé scorer market for the final available.

Data basis for this prediction

Turniertorschützen: Mbappé 8 Tore (CBS Sports / FOX Sports, Stand 12.07.2026)
Polymarket: Frankreich 40 % WM-Sieger (Stand ca. 12.07.2026)
Buchmacherquoten: Frankreich -148 ins Finale (FOX Sports, 12.07.2026)
WM-Finaltermin: 19. Juli 2026, MetLife Stadium NJ (FIFA / Al Jazeera)

Verdict: Miss

Frankreich erreichte das WM-Finale 2026 nicht. Im Halbfinale schied Frankreich aus; sie spielten stattdessen das Spiel um Platz 3 gegen England (6:4-Niederlage), in dem Mbappé zweimal traf. Das Finale am 19. Juli 2026 im MetLife Stadium war Spanien vs. Argentinien – Spanien gewann 1:0 n.V. (Tor: Ferran Torres, 106. Minute). Mbappé erzielte also kein Tor im WM-Finale, weil er gar nicht im Finale stand. Quellen: ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/49397919/kylian-mbappe-wins-golden-boot-2026-world-cup-lionel-messi-goalless-final), Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_FIFA_World_Cup_final).

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