Iran: Assembly of Experts (Majles-e Khobregan) officially designates a new Supreme Leader by 15 August 2026 (confirmed by IRNA or official Iranian state announcement)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
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Predicted for 15. August 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Ali Khamenei was killed on 28 February 2026 in a joint US-Israeli airstrike (confirmed by Al Jazeera, NPR, Iran International). His state funeral took place on 3 July 2026 after delays caused by ongoing hostilities. This means the supreme leadership post has formally been vacant for over 4.5 months. The Iran-US MoU of June 14, 2026 demonstrates that a provisional decision-making structure exists; formal legitimization by the Assembly of Experts remains pending. Historically, Khomeini's successor was named within a day in 1989. Leading candidates: Mojtaba Khamenei, Sadegh Larijani, Ahmad Jannati. Geopolitical pressure (Iran-US talks, revolutionary legitimacy) raises institutional urgency for formalization.
Data basis for this prediction
- Al Jazeera 28. Februar 2026: Khamenei bei US-israelischem Luftangriff getötet
- NPR / Iran International März 2026: Irans Staatsbeerdigung verzögert bis 3. Juli 2026
- Al Jazeera 10. Juli 2026: Iran-USA-Gespräche stocken nach Khamenei-Staatsbeerdigung
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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