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🍾 Beverages · Next Year

Heineken N.V. (AMS: HEIA) reports organic net revenue growth of more than 2.5% year-on-year in FY2026 full-year results (publication approx. February 12, 2027), confirmed by Heineken press release or Bloomberg by February 28, 2027

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. September 2026 · Predicted for 12. February 2027 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
60%

Heineken reported net revenue growth of +2.7% in H1 2026 and organic net revenue per hl of +2.3%. Q1 2026 net revenue grew +2.8%. Full-year guidance is operating profit growth +2% to +6%; analysts forecast ~3–4% organic net revenue for FY2026. The 2.5% threshold is moderately above H1 levels, requiring stable H2 performance. Risk: consolidated beer volume H1 only +0.4% – but pricing and licensed volume (+23%) support revenue. No Polymarket market available.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Heineken H1 2026 Results (theheinekencompany.com, 2026): Nettoumsatz +2,7 %, organisches NR/hl +2,3 %, konsolidiertes Volumen +0,4 %
  • Heineken Q1 2026 Trading Update (theheinekencompany.com, April 2026): Q1 Nettoumsatz +2,8 %
  • Heineken FY2026 Guidance (Juli 2026): operatives Gewinnwachstum +2 bis +6 % bestätigt
  • Ad-Hoc-News / Analyst Consensus 2026: Heineken Umsatzwachstum bis 2027 prognostiziert ~3–4 % organisch
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV) reports year-over-year net revenue growth in its Q3 2026 earnings report (July–September 2026, publication approximately November 2026, confirmed by Ambev press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

Ambev benefits in Q3 2026 (July–September) from structural tailwinds: (1) The 2026 FIFA World Cup with the final on July 19 (MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey) – the entire knockout phase runs through July, massively boosting beer consumption in Brazil and Latin America; (2) Ambev's market leadership in Brazil (approximately 63% market share, Euromonitor). In the World Cup years 2014 and 2018, Ambev posted +11% and +9% Q3 net revenue growth year-over-year respectively. Bloomberg consensus estimates for Q3 2026 imply +8–12% growth. Only risk: significant BRL depreciation. Probability: 72%.

72%
Next Month · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Anheuser-Busch InBev (ABI) reports organic volume decline in North America in Q3 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ca. 29 October 2026)

ABI reported ~1.9% YoY volume decline in the US in H1 2025. Bud Light recovery is extremely slow (0.1-0.2 ppts per 3-4 weeks). Michelob Ultra now leads US beer by volume but doesn't fully offset North America declines. Q3 2026 organic volume decline remains likely. No prediction market; own calibration: ~62%.

62%
Next Month · Predicted for 29. Oct 2026
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports net revenue decline year-over-year in Q3 FY2026 earnings (July–September 2026, release approx. October 2026, confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by 31 October 2026)

Boston Beer reported a 3.3% net revenue decline to USD 568.3m in Q2 FY2026 (April–June 2026), missing consensus estimates; depletions –6%, shipments –4.5%. The structural decline in the hard seltzer segment (Truly) continues; Samuel Adams stabilises the beer segment but does not fully compensate. Q3 is seasonally a relatively strong quarter for beer, but headwinds from shrinking seltzer volumes persist. No direct prediction market; probability derived from existing trend extrapolation.

70%
Next Month · Predicted for 31. Oct 2026