🍾 Beverages · Next Month

Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports net revenue decline year-over-year in Q3 FY2026 earnings (July–September 2026, release approx. October 2026, confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by 31 October 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. September 2026 · Predicted for 31. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Boston Beer reported a 3.3% net revenue decline to USD 568.3m in Q2 FY2026 (April–June 2026), missing consensus estimates; depletions –6%, shipments –4.5%. The structural decline in the hard seltzer segment (Truly) continues; Samuel Adams stabilises the beer segment but does not fully compensate. Q3 is seasonally a relatively strong quarter for beer, but headwinds from shrinking seltzer volumes persist. No direct prediction market; probability derived from existing trend extrapolation.

Data basis for this prediction

Boston Beer Q2 FY2026 Earnings: Nettoumsatz 568,3 Mio. USD, –3,3% YoY (Yahoo Finance / Quiver Quantitative, Juli 2026)
Boston Beer Q2 FY2026: Depletions –6%, Shipments –4,5%, EPS 4,96 USD (Yahoo Finance, Juli 2026)
Hard-Seltzer-Markt USA 2026: struktureller Volumenrückgang Truly (Branchenberichte 2026)
Peer-Vergleich: Molson Coors NA Volumenrückgang Q3 erwartet (Cassandra offene Vorhersage)

Verdict: Hit

Boston Beer meldete am 22. Oktober 2026 seine Q3-FY2026-Ergebnisse (Quartal endete 26. September 2026). Der Nettoumsatz sank um 3,2 % auf 520,1 Mio. USD gegenüber dem Vorjahresquartal. Depletions fielen um 5 %, Shipments um 4,9 % – der strukturelle Volumenrückgang (Hard Seltzer/Truly) setzte sich wie prognostiziert fort. Die Meldung erschien per offiziellem Pressemitteilung auf investors.bostonbeer.com und via SEC-Form-8-K, damit eindeutig vor der Frist 31. Oktober 2026. Einschränkung: Obwohl die EPS den Konsens übertraf und die Aktie stieg, war die Kernbedingung der Vorhersage – Nettoumsatzrückgang YoY – klar erfüllt. Quelle: Boston Beer Investor Relations (investors.bostonbeer.com/news-releases/news-release-details/boston-beer-reports-third-quarter-financial-results-3), SEC EDGAR (8-K vom 22.10.2026).

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