Bev Craig (Labour) wins Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election (30 July 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Polymarket prices Bev Craig (Labour) at 99%. The by-election — the largest in British history, with over 2 million eligible voters — was triggered when Andy Burnham won the Makerfield parliamentary seat. Reform UK's Sian Astley and the Green candidate Geraldine Coggins are considered long shots. Labour has held Greater Manchester uninterruptedly since 2017.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 99 % (Stand 26.07.2026)
- Wikipedia: 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election
- ITV Granada: 'Everything you need to know about the Greater Manchester mayoral election' (30.06.2026)
- WhoCanIVoteFor.co.uk: Kandidatenliste Greater Manchester Mayor 2026
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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