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📈 Economy · Next Week

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats the adjusted Q2-2026 EPS consensus of approx. USD 2.10 per share on July 22, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
68%

Alphabet reports on July 22, 2026, after market close. The adjusted EPS consensus stands at approx. USD 2.10 per share based on analyst expectations. The open platform prediction ('Google Cloud growth >55% in Q2 2026') signals strong fundamental drivers: if Cloud revenues grow that strongly, group margins and total EPS also rise materially. Alphabet beat the adjusted EPS consensus in seven of the last eight quarters. YouTube ad revenues recover via AI-powered ad tools, and Gemini drives Cloud adoption. No direct Polymarket equivalent for Alphabet EPS beat.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Alphabet Q2-2026 Berichtstermin: 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (financecalendar.com / nasdaq.com)
  • Bereinigter EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: ca. 2,10 USD je Aktie (Analystenerwartungen; Näherungswert aus Yahoo Finance / MarketBeat)
  • S&P 500 Stand 10.07.2026: 7.575 Punkte; US-Tech-Sektor stabil (tradingeconomics.com / cnbc.com)
  • Offene Plattform-Prognose: 'Google Cloud-Umsatzwachstum >55 % YoY Q2 2026' (Cassandra.news)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Alphabet berichtete am 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss. Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 9,11 USD – ein massiver Beat gegenüber dem Analystenkonsens von ca. 2,86–2,89 USD (GAAP). Mehrere Quellen bestätigen ausdrücklich, dass Alphabet Earnings und Revenue Estimates übertroffen hat (Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, CNBC). Der bereinigte operative EPS lag bei ca. 2,85 USD, was den in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von 2,10 USD deutlich übertrifft – allerdings war der tatsächliche Konsens zum Berichtsdatum bereits auf ~2,86–2,89 USD gestiegen, sodass der adjustierte EPS dort knapp am Limit lag. Der GAAP-EPS-Spike wurde durch unrealisierte Mark-to-Market-Gewinne auf Beteiligungen (u. a. Anthropic, SpaceX) stark aufgebläht. Google Cloud wuchs sogar um 82 % auf 24,8 Mrd. USD (weit über der prognostizierten >55 %). Kernbefund: EPS-Beat eingetreten, auch wenn der Konsenswert von 2,10 USD in der Vorhersage zu niedrig angesetzt war. Quellen: Alphabet Q2 2026 Earnings Release (SEC/q4cdn), Yahoo Finance 'Alphabet Beats Q2 Earnings', Seeking Alpha, CNBC.
Related Predictions
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US Consumer Price Index (headline CPI) for October 2026 exceeds 3.7 percent year-on-year — BLS release November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.

65%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026
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Gold (XAU/USD Spot) closes above $4,400 per ounce on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or Kitco by 1 January 2027)

Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.

32%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) beats Q1 FY2027 EPS consensus of $1.32 per share — earnings release November 11, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Cisco Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 12, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Cisco has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus in 7 of its last 8 quarters. For Q1 FY2027 (August–October 2026) the company itself guided $1.32–$1.34 per share — the market consensus of $1.32 sits at the bottom of this self-guided range, which historically signals a beat for Cisco (Q4 FY2026: $1.22 vs. consensus $1.17). AI-networking growth, Splunk integration synergies, and record Q4 FY2026 revenue ($17.25B) confirm the structural growth momentum. Q1 FY2027 revenue consensus: $18.11B (within guidance range $18.0–18.2B).

80%
Next Week · Predicted for 11. Nov 2026