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Sunday, 22. November 2026

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⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Mercedes AMG Petronas F1 Team wins the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship (confirmed by FIA standings after season finale, approx. November 2026)

Mercedes has claimed pole position in all ten qualifying sessions of the 2026 F1 season (Antonelli: 6 poles, Russell: 4 poles) — a historic display of single-lap dominance. Kimi Antonelli leads the drivers' championship and is predicted to win it; George Russell provides consistent points as number two. With two drivers among the top championship contenders and a superior qualifying package, the constructors' title is the logical outcome. McLaren (Norris/Piastri) and Ferrari (Hamilton/Leclerc) are the closest rivals but trail in the constructors' battle. Main risk: technical failures or regulation changes in the second half of the season.

71%
Next Year · Predicted for 22. Nov 2026
⚽ Sports ✦ AI

McLaren Racing wins the Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship 2026 (final race approximately Abu Dhabi GP, November 22, 2026, confirmed by FIA by November 30, 2026)

Lando Norris (McLaren, GBR) is, per an existing open prediction, the favorite for the F1 Drivers' World Championship 2026. If McLaren dominates the drivers' standings, the team almost inevitably benefits in the constructors' standings as well – Oscar Piastri as the second McLaren driver regularly scores points. Main rivals: Red Bull Racing and Ferrari. No direct Polymarket/Kalshi odds for the Constructors' title available; calibrated based on the correlated drivers' championship prediction and season development. Estimated probability approximately 55%. Prediction complements the existing Norris drivers' championship forecast without content overlap.

55%
Next Year · Predicted for 22. Nov 2026
⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Lando Norris (McLaren, GBR) wins the 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship (final race approx. Abu Dhabi GP, 22 November 2026, confirmed by FIA by 30 November 2026)

Norris, reigning world champion (F1 WDC 2025), sits 4th in the standings with 171 points after approx. 13–14 races. McLaren remains a race-winning car (Norris favoured for the Singapore GP on 21 September). The remaining 6–8 races include several high-speed circuits that suit McLaren. However, his current deficit to the championship leader requires a comeback. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes, Spain GP winner) is the strongest rival. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi WDC odds available; calibrated on current standings position and remaining scoring potential (maximum 156–208 points still available).

32%
Next Year · Predicted for 22. Nov 2026