US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 rises to at least 3.5% year-on-year (release September 11, 2026, BLS, confirmed by BLS press release or Bloomberg)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 29. August 2026
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Predicted for 11. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
US CPI for July 2026 rose 3.4% YoY (+0.1% MoM), exactly matching consensus (BLS, August 12, 2026). The PCE deflator for July 2026 came in at 3.7% YoY (BEA, August 26, 2026) — notably higher than CPI. For August 2026, elevated energy prices (Brent ~$87+ per existing forecast) support mild upward pressure on headline CPI. Counterbalancing: the restrained monthly cadence (+0.1% MoM) limits the YoY jump. A print at ≥3.5% is essentially a coin-flip: no Polymarket market available; own estimate 47%.
Data basis for this prediction
- US CPI Juli 2026: +3,4% YoY, +0,1% MoM (exakt auf Konsens) – BLS (12.08.2026)
- US PCE-Deflator (Headline) Juli 2026: +3,7% YoY – BEA (26.08.2026, Yahoo Finance)
- Brent Crude Vorhersage: >87 USD/bbl am 5. September 2026 (offene Cassandra-Vorhersage)
- US CPI August 2026 Veröffentlichung: 11. September 2026, 8:30 Uhr ET – BLS/financecalendar.com
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] US-Gesamt-CPI August 2026 YoY = 3,4% – damit unter dem Schwellenwert von 3,5%. Quellen: CNBC, Fox Business.
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✦ AI
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