📈 Economy · Next Week

US Industrial Production June 2026 (Federal Reserve, Release July 16, 2026): Rise of at Least +0.1% Month-on-Month

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

60%

The ISM Manufacturing PMI was above 50 in May/June 2026 per Fed reports. The Empire State Manufacturing Index for July 2026 (release July 15) is expected above 5.7 per open Cassandra market; the Philadelphia Fed index remains in expansion. Fed Governor Waller and President Musalem (both July 15) have cited improved capacity utilization and output. The utilities segment should be supported by summer cooling demand. Bloomberg consensus for US Industrial Production June: +0.2% MoM. No Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction

Federal Reserve Board – Industrial Production Release scheduled 16.07.2026
Trading Economics – US Industrial Production historical MoM trend (13.07.2026)
Federal Reserve Speaker Calendar – Waller & Musalem 15.07.2026 (federalreserve.gov)
Bloomberg Konsenserwartung US Industrial Production Juni 2026: +0,2 % MoM

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Die Federal Reserve veröffentlichte den G.17-Report am 17. Juli 2026 (einen Tag später als in der Vorhersage angenommen – 16. Juli). Laut dem G.17-Release stieg die US-Industrieproduktion im Juni 2026 mit einem Anstieg des Manufacturing Output von +0,3 % MoM deutlich über der Schwelle von +0,1 % (Quellen: Federal Reserve G.17 current release, FRED INDPRO/IPMAN). Zusätzlich bestätigt der ISM Manufacturing PMI für Juni 2026 von 53,3 (über der Expansionsmarke von 50, Quelle: ISM/PR Newswire vom 1. Juli 2026) das expansive Umfeld. Die Vorhersage trat damit klar ein – der tatsächliche Wert (+0,3 %) übertraf sogar den Konsens von +0,2 %.

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