US Producer Price Index (PPI) for October 2026 beats consensus estimate of +0.4% MoM — confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 13, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. November 2026
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Predicted for 13. November 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
September 2026 PPI surprised massively at +1.3% MoM (consensus: +0.6%) — a 2× factor. October consensus is +0.4% MoM; the YoY rate is expected to mark the 'biggest yearly rise since 2022' (stocktitan.net). Gold is already under pressure at ~$3,969 as the market prices in steeper Fed rate hike bets for December 2026 (fxleaders.com). Given the persistent PPI upside surprise streak and a robust producer price environment, the probability of another consensus beat is ~57%. No direct Polymarket anchor available for this event.
Data basis for this prediction
- finobird.com: Sep-PPI +1,3% MoM vs. +0,6% Konsens (veröffentlicht 15.10.2026)
- stocktitan.net: Oktober-PPI-Preview 'Biggest Yearly Rise Since 2022' (12.11.2026)
- fxleaders.com: Gold bei 3.969 USD unter Druck vor PPI-Veröffentlichung (12.11.2026)
- financecalendar.com: US-PPI-Freigabedatum 13. November 2026, 8:30 Uhr ET
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
No direct market price available; historical beat rate and company guidance provide strong signal: TJX has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last 12 consecutive quarters (100% beat rate, avg. beat margin +5.8%). Most recently Q2 FY2027: reported $1.22 vs. $1.19 expected. Company's own Q3 guidance is $1.36–$1.38, both above the Street consensus of $1.34. The off-price segment benefits structurally from trading-down dynamics in an inflationary consumer environment.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Deere & Company reports Q4 FY2026 results (August–October 2026) on November 25, 2026 after market close. EPS consensus: $4.03/share (FY2026 full-year estimate: $18.11; Q4 FY2025 comparison EPS: $3.93). Deere has beaten EPS expectations in 11 of the last 13 quarters (84.6% beat rate). The consensus is only +2.5% above the prior-year quarter, favoring a beat at normal outperformance rates. The company benefits from strong precision agriculture demand, service/parts pricing power, and structural farm productivity demand. No Polymarket market; probability estimated at 65% based on historical 84.6% beat rate, discounted for ag-cycle uncertainty.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Lowe's reports Q3 FY2026 results (July–September 2026) on November 18 before market open; EPS consensus: $2.87/share, revenue consensus: $22.38B. Peer Home Depot already beat consensus for the same quarter (separate open platform prediction). Lowe's has beaten EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. The US home improvement market benefits from supported home values and stable DIY demand. No Polymarket market available; probability estimated at 62% based on peer comparisons and Lowe's beat history.