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📈 Economy · Next Month

Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) beats Q4 FY2026 EPS consensus of $4.03 per share — quarterly report November 25, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Deere Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 26, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. November 2026 · Predicted for 25. November 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
65%

Deere & Company reports Q4 FY2026 results (August–October 2026) on November 25, 2026 after market close. EPS consensus: $4.03/share (FY2026 full-year estimate: $18.11; Q4 FY2025 comparison EPS: $3.93). Deere has beaten EPS expectations in 11 of the last 13 quarters (84.6% beat rate). The consensus is only +2.5% above the prior-year quarter, favoring a beat at normal outperformance rates. The company benefits from strong precision agriculture demand, service/parts pricing power, and structural farm productivity demand. No Polymarket market; probability estimated at 65% based on historical 84.6% beat rate, discounted for ag-cycle uncertainty.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Deere Q4 FY2026 EPS-Konsens: 4,03 USD; Berichtsdatum: 25.11.2026 nach Börsenschluss (TipRanks/Hudson Labs, Stand 11.11.2026)
  • Deere Q4 FY2025-EPS: 3,93 USD (Vergleichsquartal Vorjahr; FactSet/Morningstar)
  • FY2026-Volljahres-EPS-Konsens: 18,11 USD; Deere Beat-Rate: 11/13 letzte Quartale — 84,6 % (FactSet-Konsens)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
📈 Economy ✦ AI

Lowe's Companies (NYSE: LOW) beats Q3 FY2026 EPS consensus of $2.87 per share — quarterly report November 18, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Lowe's Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Lowe's reports Q3 FY2026 results (July–September 2026) on November 18 before market open; EPS consensus: $2.87/share, revenue consensus: $22.38B. Peer Home Depot already beat consensus for the same quarter (separate open platform prediction). Lowe's has beaten EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. The US home improvement market benefits from supported home values and stable DIY demand. No Polymarket market available; probability estimated at 62% based on peer comparisons and Lowe's beat history.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 18. Nov 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD) beats Q3 FY2026 EPS consensus of $3.84 per share — earnings report November 17, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Home Depot Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 17, 2026, 12:00 ET)

Home Depot reports Q3 FY2026 results (August–October 2026) on November 17, 2026 before market open. Analyst consensus (TipRanks/Yahoo Finance) expects EPS of $3.84–3.86 on revenue of approximately $42.69 billion (+3.25% YoY). The US housing market has stabilized in a repair-and-remodel mode at elevated interest rates: homeowners stay longer and invest in upgrades. Home Depot has historically beaten the EPS consensus in ~75% of the last 12 quarters. No negative guidance revision known. No Polymarket data available for this event. The structural resilience of the home improvement sector and HD's market leadership support a slightly above-average beat probability.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 17. Nov 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (SPX) closes above 7,600 points on Friday, November 13, 2026 — confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by November 14, 2026, 10:00 AM ET

The S&P 500 closed November 9, 2026 at 7,549.94, up +2.35% (+173 points). The rally was driven by midterm election optimism (Democrats secure US Senate per Kalshi 74%/Polymarket 73%, and House per Polymarket 94%) and strong earnings (KDP, Molson Coors, BF). To close above 7,600 by Friday November 13, the index needs a further ~0.66% rise. Critically: the market is closed November 11 (Veterans Day) — only Wednesday November 12 and Thursday November 13 are available as trading days. No direct Polymarket data point for this level; at current implied volatility (~1.2–1.5% daily range), the geometric probability of a +0.66% gain over max. 2 trading days is approximately 45%.

45%
Next Week · Predicted for 13. Nov 2026