📈 Economy · Next Month

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,600 points on July 31, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

57%

S&P 500 close on July 14, 2026: ~7,510. A close above 7,600 by July 31 requires ~+1.2%. The Fed is likely to hold at 3.50–3.75% on July 29 (Kalshi: 67% hold). The big-tech earnings season (Alphabet, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, July 22–30) is historically a market driver. Softer CPI (3.5% vs. 3.8% expected) eased recession fears on July 14. Key risks: Iran escalation, unexpectedly hawkish Fed commentary on July 29. Existing Cassandra S&P 500 predictions end July 22 — July 31 is still uncovered.

Data basis for this prediction

TheStreet/Yahoo Finance: S&P 500 ca. 7.510 Punkte am 14.07.2026 (intraday +0,5% nach CPI)
Kalshi: Fed-Entscheid 29.07.2026 – 67% No Change, 34% +25 Basispunkte (Stand 14.07.2026)
Polymarket: S&P 500 (SPY) >760 USD im Juli 2026 = 62% Wahrscheinlichkeit
BLS: CPI Juni 2026 = 3,5% YoY (softer als 3,8% Konsens; 14.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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