Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2026 awarded to David R. Liu (Harvard University) for base editing and prime editing
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. September 2026
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Predicted for 7. October 2026
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Based on: Speculative
David R. Liu (Harvard University) is the frontrunner according to the 2026 Clarivate Citation Laureates – for developing base editing and prime editing, precise DNA-repair tools that build on the CRISPR platform and hold broad therapeutic promise for hereditary diseases. Liu received the 2025 Breakthrough Prize for this work. Other strong candidates: Harry Gray & Jay Winkler (Caltech, electron transfer in proteins) and Allara/Nuzzo/Sagiv (self-assembled monolayers). No Polymarket/Kalshi market found for the Chemistry prize; the 27% probability is based on Clarivate's track record (~89 subsequent Nobel laureates from ~500 nominees since 2002), ACS C&EN expert polls, and breadth of the candidate field. Announcement: October 7, 2026, 11:45 CEST, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
Data basis for this prediction
- Clarivate Citation Laureates 2026: David R. Liu (Harvard) für Base/Prime Editing als Top-Kandidat (chemistryworld.com, 2026)
- ACS C&EN Experten-Umfrage Nobelpreis Chemie 2026 (cen.acs.org, September 2026)
- Breakthrough Prize 2025: David R. Liu für Base- und Prime-Editing (Breakthrough Prize Foundation)
- Bekanntgabedatum Nobelpreis Chemie: 7. Oktober 2026, 11:45 CEST (nobelprize.org Pressemitteilung)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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💻 Technology
✦ AI
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