💻 Technology · Next Week

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) beats Q4-FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$4.04 per share (July 29, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 29. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

82%

MSFT has beaten EPS consensus for eight consecutive quarters (MarketBeat). Azure cloud growth (+30–35% YoY) and AI revenue mix (Copilot, AI Studio) drive upside surprises. Q4-FY2026 consensus: ~$4.04 (range $3.59–$4.37, +15% YoY vs. $3.65 Q4 FY2025); revenue consensus ~$87.6B. Results after market close July 29. No direct Polymarket signal.

Data basis for this prediction

NASDAQ MSFT Earnings: Konsens $4,04, Reportdatum 29.07.2026
MarketBeat MSFT: 8 consecutive quarterly beats (Stand 19.07.2026)
StockTitan: Microsoft Q4 FY2026 Earnings Release Announcement
Yahoo Finance MSFT Preview: Revenue-Konsens $87,61 Mrd.

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Microsoft meldete für Q4 FY2026 (29. Juli 2026) einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 4,74 USD – deutlich über dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~4,04 USD (tatsächlicher Analystenkonsens lag bei ~4,24 USD). Das entspricht einer Übertrefffung um ca. 12 %. Triebkräfte: Azure-Wachstum von 43 % YoY (übertraf selbst die ~40 %-Erwartung), AI-Umsatz, sowie ein einmaliger Buchgewinn von 3,2 Mrd. USD aus der Anthropic-Beteiligung. Umsatz: 90,0 Mrd. USD vs. Konsens 87,6 Mrd. USD. Quelle: Microsoft Investor Relations / CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/29/microsoft-msft-q4-earnings-report-2026.html), Tickeron (https://tickeron.com/earnings/MSFT/)

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