US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 remains above 52.0 points (ISM publication October 1, 2026, confirmed by ISM or Bloomberg by October 1, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. September 2026
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Predicted for 1. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The US ISM Manufacturing PMI was 55.6 in July 2026 (highest since May 2022) and 54.6 in August 2026 — the eighth consecutive month of expansion (PRNewswire, TD Economics). The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI August final was 53.9. The trend supports a September reading above 52: over the past eight months, ISM never fell below 52.0. Breaking that would require an exceptional drop of >2.6 points in a single month. Risk factors: Fed rate target 3.75–4.00% (expensive industrial capital), USD strength (EUR/USD ~1.145; weakening US exports), possible demand reduction from Iran trade restrictions. No prediction market directly covers this data point — probability based on trend data.
Data basis for this prediction
- PRNewswire / ISM: US Manufacturing PMI Juli 2026 = 55,6 (8. Expansionsmonat); August 2026 = 54,6
- TD Economics: US ISM Manufacturing August 2026 = 54,6 — Expansion hält an
- Trading Economics: EUR/USD ~1,145 (23. September 2026) — USD-Stärke als Exportbremse
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] ISM Manufacturing PMI September 2026 wurde am 1. Oktober 2026 mit 54,5% veröffentlicht (PR Newswire: 'Manufacturing PMI at 54.5%; September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI Report') – deutlich über dem Schwellenwert von 52,0 Punkten.
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