Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) beats the adjusted Q2-2026 EPS consensus of $0.20 per share on July 23, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. July 2026
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Predicted for 23. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Intel has set its Q2-2026 earnings release for July 23, 2026 after market close. Intel's own guidance is $0.20 adjusted EPS (revenue midpoint: $14.3B). Analyst consensus estimates vary widely (MarketBeat: $0.21; other sources: $0.059–$0.10), reflecting uncertainty around 18A foundry yields. On July 7, 2026, the stock fell 10% after Perplexity chose Nvidia as AI chip partner. Intel has historically often beaten its own guidance midpoints narrowly, but 18A yield delays represent a genuine downside risk. Own calibration: ~54%.
Data basis for this prediction
- intc.com: Intel Q2-2026-Ergebnispressemitteilung – Termin 23. Juli 2026 (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- MarketBeat: INTC EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: 0,21 USD (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- tradingkey.com: 'INTC Stock Prediction July 2026 – 18A-Yield-Risiken, Guidance $0.20 EPS' (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- coincentral.com: 'Intel slides 10% after Perplexity/chip selloff' (07.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Intel Q2-2026 bereinigter EPS $0,22 übertrifft den in dieser Vorhersage genannten Konsens von $0,20 deutlich. (TradingKey, AlphaStreet)
📈 Economy
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The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
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✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.