Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) beats the adjusted Q2-2026 EPS consensus of $0.20 per share on July 23, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. July 2026
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Predicted for 23. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Intel has set its Q2-2026 earnings release for July 23, 2026 after market close. Intel's own guidance is $0.20 adjusted EPS (revenue midpoint: $14.3B). Analyst consensus estimates vary widely (MarketBeat: $0.21; other sources: $0.059–$0.10), reflecting uncertainty around 18A foundry yields. On July 7, 2026, the stock fell 10% after Perplexity chose Nvidia as AI chip partner. Intel has historically often beaten its own guidance midpoints narrowly, but 18A yield delays represent a genuine downside risk. Own calibration: ~54%.
Data basis for this prediction
- intc.com: Intel Q2-2026-Ergebnispressemitteilung – Termin 23. Juli 2026 (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- MarketBeat: INTC EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: 0,21 USD (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- tradingkey.com: 'INTC Stock Prediction July 2026 – 18A-Yield-Risiken, Guidance $0.20 EPS' (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- coincentral.com: 'Intel slides 10% after Perplexity/chip selloff' (07.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Intel Q2-2026 bereinigter EPS $0,22 übertrifft den in dieser Vorhersage genannten Konsens von $0,20 deutlich. (TradingKey, AlphaStreet)
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.