📈 Economy · Next Week

Gold (XAU/USD spot) closes above $4,100 per troy ounce on July 18, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

40%

Gold traded between $4,015 and $4,022 on July 14, recovering from a two-week low. The existing Cassandra threshold (>$3,950 on July 18) is already met. $4,100 requires a further +2.0% in four trading days. Tailwinds: active US-Iran war, Hormuz blockade, safe-haven demand. Headwind: US CPI at 3.8% YoY (June 2026) may keep the Fed on hold longer, historically a brake on gold. FX Leaders identifies $4,100 as the next technical resistance zone.

Data basis for this prediction

FX Leaders: 'Gold Price Analysis: $4,015 as Renewed US-Iran Strikes and Strait Closure Create a Safe-Haven Paradox' (14. Juli 2026)
RoboForex: 'XAU/USD Gold Forecast for 14 July 2026' – Kurs ca. 4.020 USD
investing.com: US CPI Juni 2026 YoY = 3,8 % (Veröffentlichung 14. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Gold notierte am 18. Juli 2026 bei ca. 4.017 USD/oz, rund 83 USD unterhalb der Schwelle von 4.100 USD. Ein Tagesanstieg dieser Größe ist praktisch ausgeschlossen. Quelle: investing.com.

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