FTSE 100 (London Stock Exchange) closes above 10,750 points on September 19, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. September 2026
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Predicted for 19. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
FTSE 100 closed at 10,816.14 on September 18, 2026 (+1.19%), driven by the BoJ rate hike to 1.25% which boosted global risk appetite. No dedicated Polymarket or Kalshi markets for FTSE 100 available. The 10,750 threshold allows for a daily correction of −0.61%; at the index's historical daily volatility of 0.6–0.8% this implies approximately 75–77% probability. Since the BoJ move was already priced in today, no extraordinary market reaction is expected tomorrow.
Data basis for this prediction
- FTSE 100 Schlussstand 18.09.2026: 10.816,14 Punkte (+1,19 %; London Stock Exchange / Bloomberg)
- BoJ-Leitzinserhöhung auf 1,25 % am 18.09.2026 bestätigt (CNBC, Bloomberg) — Auslöser für globale Risikorally
- Historische Tagesvolatilität FTSE 100: ~0,6–0,8 % pro Handelstag (Bloomberg, September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Copper currently trades at USD 6.51/lb (September 17, 2026). Reaching above 7.00 by year-end requires a gain of ~7.5% from mid-September levels. Structural tailwinds: copper cable demand from AI data-centre expansion (NVIDIA, Microsoft Azure et al.), EV ramp-up, and grid investment in the US (Inflation Reduction Act) and Europe. Headwinds: USD strength following Fed hikes to 3.75–4.00% (weighs on USD-denominated commodities), China slowdown risk, LME inventory build since Q2 2026. WTI crude at USD 101.21 (September 18) signals risk appetite and supports base metals. No prediction-market data available for this specific threshold; structural demand supports moderate upside, but macro risks cap probability at ~40%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,537.75 on September 16, 2026. The BoJ rate hike to 1.25% (September 18) and the Fed move to 3.75–4.00% create short-term headwinds: a stronger JPY weighs on export-heavy DAX sectors (autos, chemicals), and higher US rates compress valuation multiples. Closing below 25,300 on September 19 would require a daily fall of >0.9% versus the September 16 close. Since BoJ steps were largely priced in and the S&P 500 held 7,507–7,626 on September 18 despite the Fed hike, a sell-off of that magnitude is possible but not the base case. No prediction-market data available for this exact threshold.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BoE base rate stands at 3.75% after the last MPC meeting. For the November 5, 2026 meeting, market pricing implies ~87% probability of a 25 bp hike to 4.00% (Robinhood Prediction Markets, September 18, 2026 — calibration anchor). OIS data implies +17 bp and ~69%. A conservative anchor of 72% is used: deliberate downward deviation from the Robinhood figure to account for UK data-path risk through November (October CPI, GDP growth). The BoE is prone to data-dependent surprises; a hold cannot be excluded.