📈 Economy · Next Week

EUR/USD trades above 1.1350 on July 22, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

78%

EUR/USD stood at approx. 1.1435–1.1446 on July 17–18, 2026 (Trading Economics / ECB) — around 85–95 basis points above the threshold. The driver is the transatlantic rate-path divergence (ECB deposit rate 2.25%, further pause expected; Fed 3.50–3.75% effective). The ECB meeting on July 23 falls one day AFTER the target date and thus cannot trigger EUR weakness via a rate cut. A drop of over 85bp in four trading days without an exogenous shock appears unlikely. No Polymarket forex market found.

Data basis for this prediction

Trading Economics / EZB: EUR/USD 1,1435 (17. Juli 2026) — 1,1446 (18. Juli 2026)
EZB-Pressemitteilung: Einlagensatz unverändert 2,25 % (11. Juni 2026, ecb.mp260611)
CNBC / FRED: Fed-Leitzins 3,50–3,75 % (effektiv 3,62 %, Stand Juli 2026)
Reuters Forex: EUR/USD Wochenverlauf Juli 2026 — Aufwärtstrend intakt, EZB-Sitzung 23. Juli

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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