Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats Q3 FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $1.88 per share (report: July 30, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 30. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Apple reports Q3 FY2026 on July 30 after market close. Consensus is approx. $1.88 adjusted EPS (+19.8% YoY vs. $1.57 in Q3 FY2025). Apple has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four consecutive quarters. Services growth and device demand are strong; the stock is up ~20% YTD in 2026. No Polymarket market found; historical beat rate and structural Services tailwind support the forecast.
Data basis for this prediction
- Apple IR / 9to5Mac: Q3 FY2026-Ergebnistermin 30. Juli 2026, nach US-Börsenschluss
- Tickeron / NASDAQ: AAPL EPS-Konsens ca. 1,88 USD je Aktie, +19,8 % YoY (Juli 2026)
- Yahoo Finance / Factset: Apple übertrifft EPS-Konsens in 4 aufeinanderfolgenden Quartalen (2025–2026)
- Yahoo Finance: AAPL +20 % YTD 2026 — Services als struktureller Wachstumstreiber
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Apple meldete am 30. Juli 2026 für Q3 FY2026 ein GAAP-EPS von 2,02 USD (+29 % YoY) und ein bereinigtes EPS von ca. 1,91 USD (nach Abzug des einmaligen Zollrückerstattungseffekts von 0,11 USD). Der Analystenkonsens lag bei ca. 1,89 USD (leicht über dem prognostizierten Konsens von 1,88 USD) – Apple übertraf beide Werte deutlich. Der Beat wurde durch starkes iPhone-Wachstum (+22 % YoY), Mac-Wachstum (+29 % YoY) und einen Zolltarif-Windfall getrieben. Services verfehlten leicht (30,74 Mrd. vs. 31,22 Mrd. USD erwartet). Quellen: Apple Newsroom (apple.com/newsroom/2026/07/apple-reports-third-quarter-results), CNBC Live Updates (cnbc.com/2026/07/30/apple-earnings-live-updates.html), Shacknews (shacknews.com/article/150200/apple-aapl-q3-2026-earnings-results).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.