📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) reports Q4 FY2026 total net sales exceeding $94.5 billion (May–August 2026, report due September 24, 2026, confirmed by Costco Investor Relations or Bloomberg by September 25, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. September 2026 · Predicted for 24. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

66%

Analyst consensus for Costco Q4 FY2026 stands at $94.85 billion, up 10% from the prior year's $86.16 billion. Costco has beaten revenue estimates in four of the last five quarters. Key drivers: 92.2% membership renewal rate, first fee increase in seven years (Q1 FY2026), and sustained trade-down consumer behavior. The $94.5 billion threshold sits $350 million below consensus; even a modest miss would not breach it. No Polymarket market available; probability based on historical beat rate and consensus cushion.

Data basis for this prediction

TipRanks / Benzinga: Analystenkonsens Costco Q4 FY2026 Umsatz 94,85 Mrd. USD (Stand 22. September 2026)
Yahoo Finance / Benzinga: Costco Q4 FY2025-Vorjahresumsatz 86,16 Mrd. USD; Beat-Quote 4/5 Quartale (Stand 22. September 2026)
Benzinga (22. September 2026): Mitgliedererneuerungsrate 92,2 %; Kostendruck durch Tarife als Risikofaktor

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Costco Q4 FY2026 Nettoumsatz: 93,9 Mrd. USD (offizielle August-Verkaufsmeldung vom 2. September 2026) – unter der Schwelle von 94,5 Mrd. USD. Quelle: GlobeNewsWire / Costco Wholesale Corporation Reports August Sales Results, 02.09.2026.

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