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📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Costco Q4 FY2026: Comparable Sales Growth (ex-Fuel) Exceeds 7.5% YoY (Earnings Report September 24, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. September 2026 · Predicted for 24. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
72%

Costco reports Q4 FY2026 today (Sept 24, 2026); total revenue (>$94.5B) and diluted EPS (>$6.50) are already tracked as open predictions. Comparable sales growth ex-fuel is a distinct, uncovered metric. In Q3 FY2026 (Feb–May 2026) Costco posted ~8.1% ex-fuel comp growth; analyst consensus for Q4 is ~7.8%. Seasonal summer strength (travel, food, electronics) and sustained membership growth (+8% YoY in Q3) support another beat of the 7.5% threshold. No Polymarket market available; estimate based on consensus data and historical trend.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Costco Q3 FY2026 Earnings (Mai 2026): comparable sales growth ex-fuel ~8,1 % YoY (Costco Investor Relations)
  • Bloomberg Analystenkonsens Q4 FY2026 comparable sales (ex-fuel): ~7,8 % (Stand Sept. 2026)
  • MacroRadar.io: S&P 500 bei 7.762 am 23. Sept. 2026 — Konsumumfeld robust
  • Costco Investor Relations: Veröffentlichungsdatum Q4 FY2026-Bericht = 24. September 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Costco Q4 FY2026 vergleichbares Umsatzwachstum ex-Kraftstoff: +6,7 % (gesamt) bzw. +7,2 % (USA) – beides unter der Schwelle von 7,5 %. Quelle: Offizielle Costco August-Sales-Pressemitteilung, 02.09.2026.
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