📈 Economy · Next Month

Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $5.02 per share in Q2 2026 results (31 July 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Chevron reports Q2 2026 results on July 31 (conference call 11:00 ET). Street consensus is ~$5.02/share; UBS raised its estimate to $5.70, citing higher crude prices and improved refining margins. Q2 2026 was characterised by the Iran-driven Brent surge (+14% in the week of July 14 alone, to ~$86/bbl). Oil majors historically beat EPS consensus in high-price quarters ~70% of the time (JP Morgan Commodities, 2018–2025). Upside risk: Permian production surplus. Downside risk: Hormuz tanker logistics only disrupted in late Q2.

Data basis for this prediction

BusinessWire: Chevron 2Q 2026 Earnings Conference Call – Termin 31.07.2026 (Advisory 2.07.2026)
UBS via Investing.com: CVX Q2-EPS-Schätzung 5,70 USD vs. Konsens 5,02 USD (Juli 2026)
Finimize: 'Chevron's Q2 Setup Looks Better Than Expected' (UBS, Juli 2026)
TradingEconomics: Brent Crude 86,05 USD/bbl (19.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Chevron meldete am 31. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes EPS von 6,06 USD je Aktie – deutlich über dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~5,02 USD und auch über dem aktualisierten Street-Konsens von ~5,56 USD zum Berichtszeitpunkt. Der Brent-Preis stieg im Q2 2026 auf durchschnittlich ~104 USD/bbl, die Produktion wuchs um 20 % ggü. Vorjahr (Hess-Assets + Permian-Wachstum) und die Raffineriemargen zogen an – genau die in der Vorhersage genannten Aufwärtstreiber. Quellen: BusinessWire-Pressemitteilung (https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260731221759/en/Chevron-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Results), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/chevron-q2-2026-earnings-highest-122720820.html), Investing.com Earnings Call Transcript (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-chevron-beats-q2-2026-estimates-on-strong-output-cash-flow-93CH-4829024).

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