Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $4.87 per share in its Q2 2026 earnings report (July 21, 2026)
Pending
β¦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 21. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Capital One (NYSE: COF) reports Q2 2026 results on July 21 after market close. Adjusted EPS consensus: ~$4.87 (-11.1% YoY), weighed down by elevated credit-loss rates. In July 2026, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA, Wells Fargo, Citi and Morgan Stanley all beat Q2 estimates (CNBC, July 14β15, 2026) β a clear sector tailwind. COF benefits from resilient card volumes and consumer lending. Historical large-cap bank EPS beat rate: ~70β75% (FactSet). No Polymarket market for COF Q2 found. Probability 68%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Capital One Q2-2026 EPS-Konsens ~4,87 USD: earningswhispers.com / MarketBeat (18.07.2026)
- US-GroΓbanken Q2-2026 alle Beat: CNBC, 14.β15. Juli 2026
- S&P-500-EPS-Beat-Rate ~74 %: FactSet Earnings Insight Q2 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
π Economy
β¦ AI
The ifo index is released monthly around the last Tuesday of the month (July release approx. July 28, 2026). ~9,000 firms surveyed on current conditions and expectations. Upside: first stabilization signals in German economy in H1 2026. Downside: ECB rate hike to 2.25% (June 2026), ongoing Hormuz crisis weighing on energy prices (WTI ~$82/bbl). Typical monthly moves: 1-2 points. Exact June 2026 reading unavailable; threshold of 89.0 sits in the upper range of recent prints (85β91 points). No Polymarket market found. Probability 42%.
π Economy
β¦ AI
The CAC 40 stood at ~8,339 on July 18, 2026 (range 8,282β8,350; Investing.com). A fall of more than 89 points (~1.1%) in four trading days would be needed to breach 8,250. Supportive factors: ECB decision July 23 (hold at 2.25% per open prediction), Alphabet Q2 July 22, European earnings week. No direct CAC 40 market found on Polymarket. Risks: geopolitical shocks, macro surprises. Threshold set conservatively 89 points below current level. Probability 71%.
π Economy
β¦ AI
Bitcoin traded at ~$63,301 on July 18, 2026 (-1.40% in 24h, volume $25.8bn; CoinGecko/Yahoo Finance). Polymarket shows active trading volume (~$10.9M) around the $65,000 level β market participants debate $65k rather than $62k, positioning $62k as a conservative floor. A decline of more than 2.1% would be needed to miss. Risks: macro shocks, regulatory events. Polymarket signals upward pressure toward $65k. Probability 68% (slightly above initial estimate, calibrated upward on Polymarket signal).