🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
AB InBev reported +5.6% organic net revenue growth in Q2 FY2026 (revenue/hl +4.2%) and reaffirmed full-year guidance of 4–8% EBITDA growth. Mega brands Corona, Stella Artois, and Budweiser continue premiumisation growth; Latin America and Asia-Pacific drive volumes. Falling below 2% organic in Q3 would require a dramatic reversal with no current market evidence. Calibrated by analogy to the Heineken open prediction (>2%) and AB InBev's own track record.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 (May–Jul 2026) revenue of $96.22B (+106% YoY). Official Q3 FY2027 guidance: $108B ±2% (range $105.8–$110.2B; NVIDIA press release, 26 Aug 2026). Over the past eight quarters NVIDIA exceeded the top of its own guidance by an average of 3.1%, implying an actual Q3 result of ~$113–114B (analyst model: Yahoo Finance/Motley Fool, 15 Sep 2026). The new Vera Rubin architecture is expected to contribute ~20% of Data Center revenue from Q3. $112B sits $1.6B above the guidance midpoint and ~$2B below the analyst estimate. No Polymarket market available; probability anchored by historical guidance-beat pattern ≈ 65 %.
🏛️ Politics
✦ AI
With 97% of votes counted, Republican incumbent Roger Wicker leads by just 28 votes per NBC News live results (04.11.2026) — one of the closest Senate races in history. Mississippi election law requires an automatic recount when the margin falls below 0.5% of total votes, expected to conclude by 15–20 November. The remaining 3% of ballots originate primarily from rural precincts with historically higher Republican turnout, giving Wicker a slight statistical edge. No specific Polymarket market for Mississippi was identified.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Rémy Cointreau reported +0.2% organic growth for full-year FY2025/26 (BusinessWire, June 2026) and a return to positive organic growth in Q1 FY2026/27, led by the cognac segment (Investing.com, September 2026). The US-EU tariff compromise reduced the tariff impact from €35M to €20M (Spirits Business, 2025/26). China's structural demand trough shows early recovery signals. >3% organic growth for H1 is ambitious but consistent with management guidance (mid-single-digit growth corridor). No prediction-market figure available.