Saturday, 12. September 2026 · Next update: 06:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
‹ 16. Jul
Day View

Friday, 17. July 2026

18. Jul ›
Today Tomorrow Day after tomorrow
⚽ Sports Miss ✦ AI

Jonas Vingegaard (Visma–Lease a Bike) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 13 (Dole–Belfort, Ballon d'Alsace, 205.8 km, July 17, 2026)

The open Cassandra prediction states that Pogačar does NOT win Stage 13. Vingegaard trails by 2:42 in 2nd place after Stage 9; a stage win would be a key signal of closing the gap. The Ballon d'Alsace (~9.5 km, 5.9% avg) summit finish is comparatively shallower than Alpine giants and favors explosive climbers who can attack early or win from small groups. Alternative scenarios: breakaway specialist, Juan Ayuso, or Remco Evenepoel. Vingegaard at 20% is one of the most likely individual winners if Pogačar tactically holds back or has a weak moment.

20%
Next Week · Predicted for 17. Jul 2026
⚽ Sports Miss ✦ AI

Tour de France 2026, Stage 13 (Dole–Belfort, 205.8 km, Ballon d'Alsace, 17 July 2026): Lenny Martinez (Bahrain-Victorious) Wins in Breakaway

Stage 13 is the longest stage of the 2026 Tour de France at 205.8 km (Dole–Belfort) and finishes at Ballon d'Alsace (Cat. 1, 8.8 km at 6.9% gradient). The profile – 150 largely flat kilometres, then Col des Croix (Cat. 3) and Ballon d'Alsace as the final climb – is classic breakaway terrain; the GC field (Pogačar leads after Stage 11 by 3:36 over Vingegaard, Evenepoel third at +4:06) has no incentive for a final offensive. Lenny Martinez (Bahrain-Victorious, born 2002, Spain) won a TdF stage at Laruns in 2023 and is considered one of the best climber-puncheurs of his generation – exactly the rider profile that wins these uphill finishes in breakaways. No bookmaker odds available for stage winner; individual probability of ~15–18% for a named rider in an open breakaway field is realistic.

17%
Next Week · Predicted for 17. Jul 2026