xAI makes Grok 5 (approx. 2-trillion-parameter model) publicly available via its API by August 31, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. July 2026
·
Predicted for 31. August 2026
·
Based on: Speculative
Elon Musk announced that xAI is training an approximately 2-trillion-parameter model expected to complete training in July 2026 and become generally available in August 2026. On July 8, 2026, xAI released Grok 4.5 via API (Axios, TechCrunch). The rapid model succession (Grok 3, 4.0, 4.5 in quick succession) supports an aggressive release schedule. Counter-arguments: xAI often releases models to X.com users first; Musk timelines frequently slip; a 2T model may require a staged rollout. Own calibration: ~45%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Axios: 'SpaceXAI launches new model, Grok 4.5' (08.07.2026)
- TechCrunch: 'SpaceXAI releases Grok 4.5, an Opus-class model' (08.07.2026)
- CryptoBriefing: 'Musk promises daily improvements to Grok Build and 2T parameter milestone' (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
- xAI API: Grok 4.5 allgemein verfügbar ab 08.07.2026 – $2/$6 per 1M Token (abgerufen 12.07.2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
MacRumors, Engadget, and Macworld report based on supply chain analysis and analyst notes that Apple will unveil a foldable iPhone (iPhone Fold) alongside the iPhone 18 Pro at a September 2026 special event. Apple has reportedly secured production for this form factor; September is Apple's traditional hardware keynote slot. Risk factors: production ramp-up issues, possible delay to Spring 2027. No prediction market anchor identified; estimate based on media reports and Apple's historical product cycle: ~62%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) reports Q2 2026 before market open on July 15. EPS consensus: $7.98 (Zacks) / $8.02 (TipRanks); revenue consensus $10.28bn (+17.8% YoY). ASML stock rallied 70% YTD to $1,797 (July 10). Q1 2026 beat; FY guidance raised to €36–40bn. Seeking Alpha: 'ASML Likely To Beat Earnings.' Risk: management flagged expected Q2 cloud revenue deceleration.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
SAP SE (NYSE: SAP) reports Q2 2026 on July 23 at 10:05 PM CEST. EPS consensus: AltIndex $1.94, ChartMill $1.81 (midpoint ~$1.87); revenue consensus $9.95bn. Ad-hoc-News: 'SAP edges higher ahead of July earnings. Analyst consensus stays constructive.' Risk: management flagged 'expected deceleration of cloud revenue growth in Q2.' SAP benefits from AI integration momentum in its Business AI Platform and has beaten consensus in most quarters since 2024.