WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX Front-Month) closes above $88.00/barrel on July 31, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Speculative
WTI was at ~$85.23/barrel on July 23, having briefly hit $88 intraday (+4% in a single session, 6-week high). Polymarket assigns 74% probability that WTI touches $90 by July 31 (vol. >$10M); our $88 closing threshold is below that, making this a more conservative calibration. Supporting factors: escalating Houthi Red Sea attacks (separate prediction), existing IRGC/Hormuz tensions, peak summer demand. Risk: OPEC+ oversupply or abrupt de-escalation.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket Oil Predictions: 74 % WTI ≥ $90 in July 2026 (Stand 23.07.2026, Vol. ~$10 Mio.)
- Forbes Advisor: Crude Oil Price Today, July 20, 2026 – WTI ~$85–86/bbl
- Reuters via Wikipedia: WTI surges >4% to 6-week high $88 on geopolitical tensions (Juli 2026)
- Robinhood Prediction Market: Oil Price WTI Jul 23, 2026 (Intraday $85.23)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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