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· Next Week
World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026: Fred Kerley (USA) wins the men's 100m final (approx. September 11, 2026, confirmed by World Athletics by September 12, 2026)
Probability
38%
Noah Lyles (USA, 2024 Olympic champion and pre-event favourite) ended his season early on September 5, 2026 due to recurring injury flare-ups and is absent from Budapest. With Lyles out, Fred Kerley (USA, 2023 World silver medallist, season-best 9.79s in 2025) emerges as the top contender. Competition: Marcell Jacobs (ITA, 2020 Olympic champion), Ferdinand Omanyala (KEN, African record holder) and Oblique Seville (JAM). Without Lyles the field is wide open; Kerley has shown the most consistent form of the 2026 season. Bookmaker odds imply Kerley at approximately 38% post-withdrawal. No existing Cassandra forecast covers this event or outcome.
Data basis for this prediction
- Yahoo Sports: Lyles beendet Saison 2026 wegen Verletzung vor Budapest-Event (5. September 2026)
- World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest: Programm 11.–13. September 2026 (worldathletics.org)
- Buchmacherquoten (aggregiert) nach Lyles-Abgang: Kerley ~38 % für 100-m-Titel
- Kerley Jahresbestleistung 2026: 9,79 s (World Athletics Athleten-Datenbank)
Verdict: Miss
Fred Kerley (USA) gewann das 100-m-Finale der Männer bei den World Athletics Ultimate Championships Budapest 2026 nicht. Laut CBC-Berichterstattung (Titel: 'Jamaica's Kishane Thompson runs to gold in the men's 100m in Budapest', cbc.ca/player/play/video/9.6864174) siegte Kishane Thompson (JAM). Thompson war mit der Jahresweltbestleistung 2025 (9,75 s) und Silber bei der WM Tokyo 25 der stärkste Herausforderer; die Vorhersage unterschätzte Thompson und überschätzte Kerleys Formkurve in der Saison 2026.