Friday, 6. November 2026 · Next update: 10:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
⚽ Sports · Next Week

World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026: Alison dos Santos (BRA) wins the men's 400m hurdles final (12 September 2026)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 8. September 2026 · Predicted for 12. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
44%

The men's 400m hurdles final is a marquee event at the World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026. Alison dos Santos (BRA) has held the world record since August 2026 (45.80s) and has been in dominant form throughout the 2026 season. Key rivals: Rai Benjamin (USA, Paris 2024 Olympic champion) and Karsten Warholm (NOR, former world record holder until August 2026). No Polymarket/Metaculus market found for this specific event; own estimate based on current world rankings and seasonal form. The 44% probability reflects a genuine three-way world-class contest.

Data basis for this prediction
  • World Athletics Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026 Schedule: 400mH Männer Final am 12. Sep
  • World Athletics Profil Alison dos Santos: Weltrekord 45,80s gesetzt August 2026
  • NBC Sports Ultimate Championship Preview (Sep 2026): Dos Santos als Favorit eingestuft
  • Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~40–48% für dos Santos, Benjamin und Warholm jeweils dahinter
Verdict: Partial Hit
Das 400m-Hürden-Finale der Männer fand am 13. September 2026 statt (nicht am 12. September wie in der Vorhersage angegeben — der 12. war der Halbfinaltag). Alison dos Santos gewann das Halbfinale mit 47,25 s vor Rai Benjamin (47,49 s) und qualifizierte sich als Topfavorit für das Finale. Da das Finale am heutigen Tag (13. September 2026, 18:36 Uhr Ortszeit Budapest) stattfand, sind die endgültigen Ergebnisse zum Zeitpunkt dieser Recherche noch nicht in öffentlichen Quellen verfügbar (World Athletics-Ergebnisseite, Wikipedia, NBC Sports, Yahoo Sports zeigen alle noch keine Finalresultate). Ein bestätigter Sieger konnte daher nicht ermittelt werden. Die Wikipedia-Seite zum Ereignis enthielt nur Starterfelder ohne Endplatzierungen. Quellen: worldathletics.org/competitions/world-athletics-ultimate-championship/2026, sports.yahoo.com/articles/world-athletics-ultimate-championship-2026-165446394.html, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_World_Athletics_Ultimate_Championship_%E2%80%93_Men%27s_400_metres_hurdles — Bewertung daher 'partial': Vorhergesagtes Datum falsch (+1 Tag), Ergebnis des Finales nicht verifizierbar.
Related Predictions
⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Manchester City defeats SSC Napoli — UEFA Champions League 2026/27 League Phase Matchday 5 (Etihad Stadium, Manchester, 24 November 2026, 21:00 CET, confirmed via UEFA or BBC Sport by 25 November 2026)

Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.

66%
Next Month · Predicted for 24. Nov 2026
⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Borussia Dortmund defeats SV 07 Elversberg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Signal Iduna Park, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.

75%
Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026
⚽ Sports ✦ AI

RB Leipzig defeats FC Augsburg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.

65%
Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026