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World Athletics Budapest 2026: Armand Duplantis wins men's pole vault final (September 11, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 10. September 2026 · Predicted for 11. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

72%

Armand 'Mondo' Duplantis (SWE), world record holder (6.26 m) and two-time Olympic champion, is on the entry list for the men's pole vault final on September 11, 2026 (Gyula Zsivotzky National Stadium Budapest, approx. 14:08 local time). A thigh strain forced him to withdraw from the Diamond League Final in Brussels last week. His agent Daniel Wessfeldt confirmed that Duplantis has traveled to Budapest and intends to compete after good response to treatment — 'with the understanding that nothing is certain'. Competitors: Manolo Karalis (GRE, world #2) and Sam Kendricks (USA, Olympic silver 2024). If Duplantis competes, he is statistically near-unbeatable; a possible last-minute scratch due to the thigh injury reduces overall probability from ~92% to ~72%. No calibrated prediction market available for this specific event.

Data basis for this prediction

swedenherald.com (8. Sept. 2026): Agent Wessfeldt bestätigt Budapest-Reise nach Oberschenkelzerrung, Start unter Vorbehalt
Yahoo Sports: 'Mondo Duplantis raises fitness concerns after pulling out of Diamond League Final' (Sept. 2026)
worldathletics.org: Startliste WA Ultimate Championship Budapest 2026 – Duplantis, Karalis, Kendricks bestätigt (9. Sept. 2026)
NBC Sports/Olympics.com: Männer-Stabhochsprung-Finale 11. Sept. 2026, 14:08 Uhr Ortszeit, Gyula-Zsivotzky-Stadion

Verdict: Hit

Armand Duplantis gewann tatsächlich das Stabhochsprung-Finale der Männer bei der World Athletics Ultimate Championship in Budapest am 11. September 2026 mit 6,20 m. Er trat trotz seiner Oberschenkelverletzung an, übersprang 5,60 m, 5,95 m, 6,05 m, 6,15 m und 6,20 m – alle im ersten Versuch. Karalis wurde Zweiter (6,15 m), Guttormsen Dritter (5,95 m). Ein Weltrekordversuch bei 6,32 m blieb erfolglos. Quelle: worldathletics.org/competitions/world-athletics-ultimate-championship/2026/news/report/report-men-pole-vault-world-ultimate-championship-budapest-26 sowie yahoo.com/articles/mondo-duplantis-caps-day-1-203323454.html

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