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Vuelta a España 2026: Félix Gall (Decathlon CMA CGM, AUT) finishes 2nd in the general classification (finale September 13, 2026, Granada, confirmed by UCI or lavuelta.es by September 13, 2026)
Probability
46%
After Stage 14 (September 5, 2026, Sierra de la Pandera summit), Gall sits 2nd in the GC at 2:06 behind leader Enric Mas (Movistar — existing platform prediction). His closest rival Primož Roglič (Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe) is just 4 seconds behind in 3rd. In remaining mountain stages, Roglič — one of the most experienced Grand Tour racers — can attack. Gall has shown the ability to match Roglič on climbs in this Vuelta, but his margin is razor-thin. We see Gall and Roglič nearly even for 2nd — 46% for Gall.
Data basis for this prediction
- Vuelta 2026 GC nach Etappe 14: Gall P2 +2:06, Roglič P3 +2:10 (CyclingUpToDate, 5. Sep 2026)
- Etappe 14 gewann Marco Brenner aus Ausreißergruppe; Mas bestätigte Führung (ProCyclingStats, 5. Sep 2026)
- Vuelta 2026 verbleibende Etappen 15–21 mit Bergankünften (lavuelta.es, Sep 2026)
Verdict: Miss
Félix Gall beendete die Vuelta a España 2026 auf Platz 3, nicht auf Platz 2. Das Endklassement lautete: 1. Enric Mas (Movistar), 2. Primož Roglič (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe, +2:15), 3. Félix Gall (Decathlon CMA CGM, +2:44). Exakt das im Vorhersage-Risiko benannte Szenario trat ein: Roglič, der nach Etappe 14 nur 4 Sekunden hinter Gall lag, überholte ihn in den verbleibenden Bergetappen und sicherte sich Platz 2. Quellen: cyclingnews.com, cyclinguptodate.com, olympics.com.