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Vuelta a España 2026 Stage 21 (Granada/Alhambra, September 13, 2026): Primož Roglič (Red Bull–Bora–Hansgrohe, SLO) wins the final summit finish at the Alhambra

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

27%

Roglič trails GC leader Enric Mas by 1:37 after stage 18 and is predicted (open) to win stages 19 and 20. Stage 21 finishes at the Alhambra — a competitive summit, not a ceremonial roll-in (99.4 km from Granada). Roglič is in peak form and will make one final attack. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~27% for Roglič as stage winner (no Polymarket market found). Three consecutive summit wins would be rare but consistent with his form. Enric Mas will control with superior team support; Félix Gall (–3:01) could also break away.

Data basis for this prediction

ProCyclingStats Stage 21 Profil: Granada/Alhambra, 99,4 km (procyclingstats.com, Sept 2026)
GC-Stand nach Etappe 18: Mas 1., Roglič 2. (–1:37), Gall 3. (–3:01) – ciclo21.com/esciclismo.com, 10. Sept 2026
Offizielle Vuelta-Route Etappe 21: lavuelta.es (Sept 2026)
Buchmacherquoten Vuelta Etappensieger aggregiert: Oddschecker, Stand 11. Sept 2026

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Primož Roglič gewann keine einzige Etappe der Vuelta 2026 und beendete die Gesamtwertung als Zweiter (+2:15). Etappe 21 (Granada/Alhambra) wurde von anderen Fahrern (Van Aert/Brennan als Favoriten) bestritten. Quelle: Wikipedia 2026 Vuelta a España Etappenliste, CyclingUpToDate

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