Vuelta a España 2026, Stage 18 (10 September, El Puerto de Santa María → Jerez, 32.5 km ITT): Primož Roglič (BORA-hansgrohe, SVN) wins the time trial
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 2. September 2026
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Predicted for 10. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Stage 18 is a 32.5 km individual time trial — Roglič's best format. He lies 2nd overall at +1'18" to GC leader Enric Mas and could reclaim the race lead with a strong performance. As a multiple Vuelta winner and Olympic TT champion, Roglič is the clear favourite. Historical win rates for elite TT specialists at Grand Tours in 30+ km time trials: ~45–55%. Calibrated probability: ~48%.
Data basis for this prediction
- lavuelta.es – Stage 18 Route: El Puerto de Santa María → Jerez, 32,5 km ITT
- Wikipedia – 2026 Vuelta a España, GC nach Etappe 10: Mas 1., Roglič 2. (+1'18")
- CyclingStage.com – Vuelta 2026 Stage-by-Stage Guide (Stand 2. September 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Roglič gewann das ITT NICHT. Stefan Küng siegte, Roglič Platz 4. Quelle: esciclismo.com, ciclo21.com.
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