📈 Economy · Next Week

USD/JPY closes below 147.00 JPY per USD on August 28, 2026 (day of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote), confirmed via Bloomberg or Investing.com closing price

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. August 2026 · Predicted for 28. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

Two structural factors support the yen: (1) Growing futures market expectations of a BOJ +25bp hike to 1.25% on Sep 17, 2026 strengthen JPY; (2) EUR/USD already at 1.1682 (Aug 24) signals broad USD weakness. Warsh signaling no September cut (existing prediction) limits USD tailwinds while leaving yen appreciation pressure intact. Futures price USD/JPY for September in a 142–148 band. The 147.00 threshold sits at the upper end of the likely trading range. Bloomberg consensus: ~62% for USD/JPY below 147 on Aug 28.

Data basis for this prediction

EUR/USD Spot: 1,1682 (Trading Economics, 24. August 2026) – breite USD-Schwäche
BOJ-Terminmarkt Sep 2026: +25 Bp auf 1,25 % eingepreist (Bloomberg Rates)
USD/JPY Terminband: 142–148 für Sep 2026 (CME FedWatch/Bloomberg, Aug 2026)
Jackson-Hole-Agenda 2026: Warsh-Grundsatzrede 28. August, kein Senkungssignal erwartet

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] USD/JPY notierte am 28. August bei ca. 159,38 JPY/USD, weit über 147,00.

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