📈 Economy · Tomorrow

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2026, released on 14 July 2026, shows annual inflation above 3.5%

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 14. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

73%

US CPI for June 2026 is released on July 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect ~3.8% YoY – well above the Fed's 2% target. Drivers: energy price spikes from Hormuz tensions (US strikes on Iranian targets, LNG supply risk, TTF at €50/MWh) and sticky core CPI (+0.26% MoM expected). A sub-3.5% print appears very unlikely. A hotter-than-expected print would further reduce rate-cut expectations.

Data basis for this prediction

Kiplinger.com/CalendarX: US-CPI-Veröffentlichung 14. Juli 2026, 8:30 ET; Konsens ~3,8 % YoY (12.07.2026)
Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting: Kerninflation +0,26 % MoM für Juni 2026 projiziert (Stand 12.07.2026)
TradingEconomics: TTF Gas 50 EUR/MWh nach Hormuz-Schlagzeilen – Energiedruck auf US-CPI (10.07.2026)
CNBC: Fed hält Leitzins 3,50–3,75 %; Inflationsrisiken durch Strait of Hormuz thematisiert (09.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] US-CPI Juni 2026 Jahresrate = 3,8 % – liegt über 3,5 %. Bestätigt durch investing.com CPI YoY, Release 14. Juli 2026: Actual 3.8 %, Previous (Mai) 4.2 %.

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