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US Open 2026 men's final (September 13): Alexander Zverev (GER, No. 1) wins his first Grand Slam title against Ben Shelton (USA)
Probability
46%
Ben Shelton has sensationally defeated defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals to reach the final. The men's final on September 13, 2026 (Flushing Meadows) is therefore Zverev (GER, world #1) vs. Shelton (USA). Polymarket prices Zverev post-Alcaraz upset at ~45%, Shelton at ~40% ($24M volume). ESPN/Oddschecker aggregate: Zverev +110, Shelton +140. Zverev has extensive Grand Slam final experience (US Open 2020, lost; further finals since), survived a comparatively tougher draw, and is in excellent form. Shelton benefits from home crowd advantage and an explosive serve. Polymarket market probability (~45%) adopted as anchor without material deviation.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket 'Men's US Open Winner 2026': Zverev ~45 %, Shelton ~40 % (Stand 10. Sept. 2026, $24M Volumen)
- ESPN: 'Zverev new men's fave after Shelton beats Alcaraz' – Zverev +110, Shelton +140 (10. Sept. 2026)
- freetips.com/Yahoo Sports: Alcaraz nach Viertelfinalniederlage gegen Shelton aus US Open 2026 ausgeschieden (9. Sept. 2026)
- ATP Tour: US Open 2026 Finale Sonntag 13. September 2026, Flushing Meadows NY
Verdict: Hit
Alexander Zverev besiegte Ben Shelton am 13. September 2026 im US-Open-Finale mit 6:3, 7:6(2), 5:7, 6:2 – exakt wie vorhergesagt. Kleiner Vorbehalt: Die Vorhersage bezeichnete es als Zverevs 'ersten Grand-Slam-Titel', tatsächlich war es bereits sein zweiter der Saison 2026 (nach Roland Garros im Juni). Der vorhergesagte Matchausgang (Zverev schlägt Shelton im Finale) traf jedoch vollständig zu. Quellen: ATP Tour (atptour.com), CBS Sports, ESPN, CNN, NBC News, Al Jazeera.