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US Open 2026 Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz (ESP, seed 2) defeats Ben Shelton (USA, seed 8) in the Quarterfinal (Flushing Meadows, September 8, 2026, confirmed by USTA or ATP by September 8, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 8. September 2026 · Predicted for 8. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

82%

Polymarket gives Alcaraz 56% to win the title, Shelton ~11%. H2H stands at 5-0 for Alcaraz. Shelton admitted he needs 'special tennis.' Alcaraz breezed past Tommy Paul (6-4, 6-3, 6-4) while Shelton dominated Tsitsipas. Hard-court Shelton is dangerous, but Alcaraz is superior across all metrics. Bookmaker odds imply >80% for Alcaraz.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: Alcaraz 56 % Turniersieg, Shelton ~11 % (Stand 8. Sep. 2026)
Bleacher Report/ESPN: QF-Draw Alcaraz vs. Shelton bestätigt, US Open Sep. 2026
Olympics.com: Shelton-Zitat 'special tennis needed', Sep. 7, 2026

Verdict: Miss

Ben Shelton besiegte Carlos Alcaraz im Viertelfinale des US Open 2026 am 9. September 2026 (die Partie begann am Abend des 8. September und wurde als 9. September verbucht). Das Ergebnis laut Tennis.com (match URL: b-shelton-vs-c-alcaraz-2026-09-09) und mehreren übereinstimmenden Suchergebnissen: Shelton gewinnt, nicht Alcaraz. Damit trat genau das ein, was Shelton selbst als 'special tennis' bezeichnete – er brach erstmals seine 0-5-Bilanz gegen Alcaraz und besiegte den Topfavoriten trotz ~82% Buchmacherwahrscheinlichkeit für Alcaraz. Quellen: Tennis.com Matchseite (Ergebnis: B. Shelton gewinnt), Yahoo Sports Match-Seite, mehrere unabhängige Suchresultat-Zusammenfassungen; kein indexierter Post-Match-Artikel von USTA/ATP verfügbar, da das Ergebnis sehr frisch ist, aber die Datenlage ist konsistent.

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