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US Open 2026 women's QF: Mirra Andreeva (RUS, No. 5) defeats Coco Gauff (USA, No. 4) and advances to the semi-finals (Flushing Meadows, 9 September 2026, confirmed by USTA or WTA by 9 September 2026)
Probability
44%
Mirra Andreeva (Russia, seed 5) faces Coco Gauff (USA, seed 4) in the 2026 US Open women's QF. Andreeva is in superb form, having defeated Potapova 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 in R16. Gauff is the more experienced Slam winner (2023 US Open champion) but has shown vulnerability against aggressive hardcourt baseliners. Seeding parity (4 vs 5) reflects a balanced contest; no direct market odds available. Based on hardcourt form and stylistic match-up, we estimate Andreeva's win probability at roughly 42–46%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Wikipedia: 2026 US Open – Women's Singles QF draw: Andreeva (5) vs Gauff (4), 9. September 2026
- CBS Sports: US Open 2026 bracket, R16 wraps up – Andreeva d. Potapova 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 (Stand 8. September 2026)
- Yahoo Sports / NBC Sports: Andreeva in US Open 2026 QF (7. September 2026)
- WTA-Profil: Andreeva Hardcourt-Bilanz 2026 (wtatennis.com)
Verdict: Miss
Coco Gauff besiegte Mirra Andreeva 2-6, 7-6, 6-2 und zog ins Halbfinale ein – nicht Andreeva. Gauff rettete dabei sogar zwei Matchbälle (Andreeva führte 7-6 im zweiten Satz). Andreeva gewann zwar den ersten Satz deutlich (6-2 in 26 Minuten), verlor aber die entscheidenden zweiten und dritten Sätze. Die Vorhersage, Andreeva gewinne das Match, trat nicht ein. Quellen: CBS Sports (https://www.cbssports.com/tennis/news/2026-us-open-results-coco-gauff-mirra-andreeva-semifinals/), ESPN (https://www.espn.com/tennis/story/_/id/49884369/coco-gauff-saves-match-points-rallies-mirra-andreeva-reach-2026-us-open-semifinals)